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ESPN’s FiveThirtyEight releases new CFP probability rankings


ESPN’s advances stat guys of FiveThirtyEight have updated the College Football Playoff probability rankings once again, and there’s a bit of a surprise. Joining Clemson, Alabama and Ohio State in the Top 4 are not Notre Dame, not Oklahoma State, but the Oklahoma Sooners.

FiveThirtyEight’s inner workings can be further explained here, but putting a Big 12 squad in Oklahoma seems a bit lofty, even for FiveThirtyEight.

Keep in mind that the Big 12, despite its name, has only ten teams and thus is without a conference championship game. Basically, whomever is at the top of the standings this year will be named conference champion, no strings attached. Oklahoma is 9-1 on the year, having lost to Texas in this year’s Red River Rivalry, and needs to beat TCU as well as undefeated Oklahoma State in order to even warrant consideration in the playoff.

Given how the Big 12 isn’t viewed as much in terms of strength of schedule since it shrank to 10 teams, the odds of the Sooners making college football’s big dance are slim.

Just the same, with two consecutive dominant victories over TCU and the ‘Pokes, Oklahoma could make itself hard to ignore when it comes time to name the Final Four.

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*Featured Photo (above) credit to USA TODAY Sports

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