UNC snags Week 3’s best performance

A quarter of the way into the 2015 college football season, many onlookers of universities, starting with Penn State’s loss to Temple and the egotistical SEC finding itself in a pickle approaching week four, are very skeptical of any team’s credibility. And that doesn’t exclude Ohio State, who was nearly defeated by Northern Illinois at home.

Instead of focusing on their playbooks, head coaches would rather taunt other head coaches at other universities for its unfair advantage in scheduling or for feeble attempts at accusing other programs of blasphemy in terms of stealing their recruits.

With my tangent aside, week three proved to be a Humpty Dumpty fall for some, while other Power 5 schools, like Mississippi and Texas Tech, can adorn their school colors with pride this week.

But what teams were worth their salt and which teams are already glancing ahead to Thanksgiving Break?

Luckily, research on your end isn’t necessary since a Reddit user spared some headaches and brainstormed his own list of the best and worst of week three by adopting Sagarin ratings.

According to MrSaturdayPants of the RedditCFB thread, here’s his recipe in diagnosing the rankings and numbers that follow:

To get the Sagarin scores for each team’s game I take the opponent’s Sagarin rating, adjust for home field advantage [2.65 points], and add in the point differential for the game. For example, yesterday Stanford beat USC 41 to 31 in Los Angeles. USC had a Sagarin rating of 92.39, so Stanford’s Sagarin score for that game is 92.39 + 10 + 2.65 = 105.04, which is excellent. Anything above 80 is Top 25 level. The very best teams hover around 95.

BEST PERFORMANCES – OVERALL:

1. North Carolina 48 Illinois 14 (111.44)
2. Virginia Tech 51 Purdue 24 (106.3)
3. Georgia 52 South Carolina 20 (106)
4. Arizona 77 Northern Arizona 13 (105.74)
5. Oklahoma State 69 Texas San Antonio 14 (105.43)
6. Stanford 41 USC 31 (105.04)
7. Mississippi 43 Alabama 37 (104.87)
8. LSU 45 Auburn 21 (103.83)
9. Notre Dame 30 Georgia Tech 22 (93.02)
10. Texas Tech 35 Arkansas 24 (92.66)

BEST PERFORMANCES AGAINST ‘GOOD’ TEAMS (SAGARIN > 75):

1. North Carolina vs Illinois (111.44)
2. Georgia vs South Carolina (106)
3. Stanford vs USC (105.04)
4. LSU vs Auburn (103.83)
5. Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech (93.02)
6. Texas Tech vs Arkansas (92.66)
7. Florida State 14 Boston College 0 (92.42)
8. Northwestern 19 Duke 10 (90.75)
9. Alabama vs Mississippi (83.97) (L)
10. Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame (82.39) (L)

BEST PERFORMANCES – EXPECTATIONS:

1. Virginia Tech vs Purdue (+39.21)
2. North Carolina vs Illinois (+37.43)
3. Arizona vs Northern Arizona (+28.71)
4. Stanford vs USC (+22.21)
5. Penn State 28 Rutgers 3 (+17.58)
6. LSU vs Auburn (+16.25)
7. Georgia vs South Carolina (+16)
8. Maryland 35 South Florida 17 (+15.79)
9. Texas Tech vs Arkansas (+15.37)
10. Mississippi vs Alabama (+12.25)

WORST POWER 5 PERFORMANCES – OVERALL:

1. Illinois (42.66)
2. Purdue (49.03)
3. Rutgers (49.74)
4. Minnesota (51.08) (W)
5. Syracuse (57.41) (W)

WORST PERFORMANCES – EXPECTATIONS:

1. Purdue (-39.21)
2. Illinois (-37.43)
3. Minnesota (-25.06) (W)
4. Ohio State (-24.29) (W)
5. USC (-22.21)
6. Missouri (-20.27) (W)
7. Rutgers (-17.58)
8. TCU (-17.48) (W)
9. Auburn (-16.25)

TEAMS EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS (WEEKS 1-3):

1. Mississippi (+24.57)
2. Colorado (+22.97)
3. Texas Tech (+15.82)
4. Northwestern (+14.53)

Complete listing of Sagarin Ratings can be viewed here.

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