Ken Pomeroy releases early Top 10 for 2016-17

We all know Ken Pomeroy as the college basketball guru who makes predictions based on his own computer model, and he took to Twitter early this morning to release his Top 10 for the 2016-17 season based off of how things currently stand.

His results are certainly surprising.

Here's the early 2017 top 10 from my computer, assuming 1) all players in DX mock first round leave, 2) all other eligible players return…

— Ken Pomeroy (@kenpomeroy) March 20, 2016

UPDATED top 10: 10) Virginia, 9) Indiana, 8) Wisconsin, 7) Oregon, 6) UNC, 5) Kansas, 4) Villanova, 3) Duke, 2) Kentucky, 1) Louisville

— Ken Pomeroy (@kenpomeroy) March 20, 2016

This is subject to typos and coding errors, and there are some impact freshmen that have yet to declare.

— Ken Pomeroy (@kenpomeroy) March 20, 2016

And there may be (probably will be) methodology changes to the preseason ratings algorithm between now and November.

— Ken Pomeroy (@kenpomeroy) March 20, 2016

Also, N.C. State and Ohio State could make big jumps if everyone is back. And Princeton is a mid-major to watch. 2-bid Ivy possible.

— Ken Pomeroy (@kenpomeroy) March 20, 2016

Pomeroy’s Top 10 is certainly not without merit, but his algorithm has (obviously) not accounted for one key piece of information. Louisville may be slammed with major NCAA sanctions pending the results of an investigation into an alleged prostitution scandal that led to the Cardinals self-imposing a postseason ban this season. Moreover, Louisville is losing two key players this summer in Damion Lee and Trey Lewis, and only has one Top 100 freshman coming in next year in four-star wing V.J. King.

Kentucky, on the other hand, has multiple five-star talents set to arrive in Lexington.

Granted, SMU was hit with NCAA sanctions prior to this season and was one of the best teams in the nation despite that, but keep in mind that Louisville was kept out of the Top 25 rankings early in the season, probably because of uncertainty surrounding the investigation.

Thus, though Ken Pomeroy’s system is one to be respected and Rick Pitino will surely put out a winning team, putting the Cardinals at the top of the list seems premature.

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*Featured Photo (above) credit to USA TODAY Sports

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