Quarterbacks are often drafted much higher than their actual value. The hopes of filling a need at the most important position in sports often leads to an arms race that causes the likes of Christian Ponder to be drafted 12th overall.
Though teams have found success drafting quarterbacks in later rounds, it usually takes a top pick to secure stability at the top position; even then it amounts to little more than guesswork.
This year, the frenzy could reach a fever pitch.
With a number of quality quarterbacks available, one NFC scout believes that as many as five quarterbacks could be taken in the first two rounds.
“It’s a good quarterback class. Realistically, all five of those guys go in the first two rounds.”
Mitch Trubisky, Deshaun Watson and DeShone Kizer are expected to go in the first round by most projections, but this executive believes that Davis Webb and Patrick Mahomes could slide into the first two rounds as well. Kizer is believed to need several seasons at the NFL level before he is ready to take on a full-time starting role, at least two years, while Watson will need at least one season.
While Webb and Mahomes possess all the tools one might need to succeed at the NFL level, the schemes they played for at Cal and Texas Tech don’t translate directly into the kind of offense that NFL teams like to run. One might even see a name like Brad Kaaya, a more NFL ready quarterback who isn’t receiving a lot of buzz right now leap into the first two rounds after the pre-draft showcases begin.
This appears to be an incredibly deep draft, with lots of talent at a number of positions. If teams draft according to their needs and don’t reach too far for a prospect they’ve become infatuated with, they could be drafting starting quality players into the fourth and fifth rounds.